Who Benefits From Our “Entitlement Society”?
“Even Critics of Safety Net Increasingly Depend on it,” read a recent New York Times headline, capturing in a sentence the uncertain and contradictory sentiment of millions of middle class Americans who say they want the government out of their lives, but admit they count on Social Security, Medicare, and other benefits to stay afloat. Chisago, Minnesota—the archetypal heartland county in which much of the article takes place—is illustrative: a former Democratic stronghold, now with a declining middle class and a decidedly conservative outlook, whose residents struggle to reconcile their resentment with reliance on entitlement programs.
The remaining Republican presidential candidates have seized upon that resentment to construct an alternative narrative to the one President Obama favors. While the administration talks about helping hard-working Americans to get back on their feet after the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression, Mitt Romney has warned that the United States is becoming an “Entitlement Society,” with dependence on government fostering “passivity and sloth.” Rick Santorum talks of social insurance “systematically destroying the work ethic.” And Newt Gingrich has called Mr. Obama a “food-stamp president,” suggesting that “the African-American community should demand paychecks and not be satisfied with food stamps.”
But this racially-charged
narrative—able-bodied young people collecting government benefits instead of finding honest work—couldn’t be farther from the truth. According to a new report from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, more than 90 percent of government benefits went to the elderly, the seriously disabled, and members of working households in 2010. The majority of the remaining 9 percent went to medical care, unemployment insurance (which requires previous work experience), Social Security survivor benefits (for children and spouses of deceased workers), and early Social Security benefits. The CBPP analysis also finds that among entitlement programs that target only low-income households, five out of every six dollars were spent on the elderly or disabled (probably a low estimate, as the data comes from 2010, when the national unemployment rate averaged a historic 9.6 percent).
The CBPP data should also quash the Republicans implication that the poor benefit from entitlement programs at the expense of the middle class. In fact, the graph below shows that the middle class receives a proportionate share of benefits, while only the top 20 percent of the population receives less. Compare that to the distribution of tax credits, write-offs and deductions that are available to the rich: the top fifth of the population received 66 percent of the $1.1 trillion “tax entitlements” in 2010, compared to just 2.8 percent for the poorest fifth.
Unfortunately, the deterioration of the middle class has made many Americans susceptible to the politics of resentment that drive Republican misperceptions. In Chisago County, per capita income has fallen 13 percent in the last decade; nationally, median income remains little changed in over thirty years. But instead of questioning the vast upward redistribution of wealth to the top one percent, or why the 400 richest Americans—who control as much wealth as 150 million people—pay an average tax rate of just 18%, many of Minnesotans quoted in the Times article speak stoically of suffering to reduce the national debt and their own reliance on government:
“How do you tell someone that you deserve to have heart surgery and you can’t?” Mr. Gulbranson said.
He paused.
“You have to help and have compassion as a people, because otherwise you have no society, but financially you can’t destroy yourself. And that is what we’re doing.”
He paused again, unable to resolve the dilemma.
Long-Term Unemployment Benefits Do Not Increase Unemployment
Although the official unemployment rate remains stuck at around 9 percent—significantly lower than the “U6” rate of 16 percent, which includes discouraged workers and those forced to work part-time for economic reasons—conservative lawmakers are eager to reduce the number of weeks unemployed workers can receive benefits. One potential bill would also require recipients without a high school diploma to enroll in a GED program or lose their benefits, and allow states to screen applicants with a drug test. That position isn’t particularly surprising, considering the typical conservative refrain that unemployment benefits reduce the incentive to look for work. By their account, if we would only take away unemployment insurance (UI), millions of lazy Americans would get to their feet and find jobs.
It’s a deeply flawed presumption, and one that has real world consequences for the 6.7 million families that rely on an average weekly benefit of $300 to afford food, heat, and shelter while they look for work. It also endangers the more than 2 million long‐term unemployed workers, who will lose their UI benefits entirely by the end of February if Congress fails to reauthorize those benefits before they expire.
Luckily, a new report from the U.S. Joint Economic Committee proves just how wrong the conservative position is. According to the report’s authors, there is no evidence that emergency UI benefits inflated the unemployment rate; the intensity with which the long-term unemployed searched for work actually tripled during the Great Recession. That analysis complements a similar study from Brookings earlier this year that found only 0.3 percent of the 4 percent increase in unemployment could be attributed to long-term benefits.
Unemployment benefits also function as extremely effective, targeted economic stimulus. Benefits are spent quickly on basic necessicities, creating a ripple effect throughout the economy that sustains consumer demand and supports employment. The authors of the JEC report argue that reauthorizing emergency UI benefits provide “the greatest ‘bang-for-the-buck’ among a range of fiscal policies,” boosting GDP with a multiplier effect that the CBO estimates to be as high as $1.90 for each dollar spent: far more than the negative multiplier of tax cuts.
As the report points out, Congress has continued to extend UI benefits until the unemployment rate fell substantially below peak in every major recession since the 1950s. And at 3.7 percent, the current long term unemployment rate is nearly three times higher than it has ever been when UI benefits were allowed to expire. It is estimated that, in 2010, over 3 million Americans were kept out of poverty by UI benefits. To allow the extension of those benefits to expire now would risk impoverishing millions of families at a time when consumer demand is already at historic lows.
Graph of the Day: For the Long-Term Unemployed, Finding a Job is Only Getting Harder
By Benjamin Landy
For the long-term unemployed in America, life is only getting harder. While national unemployment remains high at 9.2 percent, near where the rate has stuck for the last two years, the average number of weeks an unemployed worker has been jobless is still growing. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, if you are one of the 14 million unemployed today, the odds are you’ve been unemployed for at least five months, or nine months if you look at the arithmetic mean.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Unfortunately, more and more businesses are using current employment as a proxy for employability, meaning the long-term unemployed face mounting discrimination and ever diminishing prospects compared to their recently laid-off peers. And, unlike discrimination based on race, ethnicity, disability, religion, sex and age, employers are entirely within their legal rights to use unemployment –especially long-term unemployment – as grounds for rejection. So while the number of people unemployed for less than 5 weeks declined by 387,000 in July, the number of people unemployed for over 27 weeks barely changed, holding steady at 6.2 million.
Only New Jersey has outlawed this kind of discrimination, and although several other states are considering similar legislation, the 6 million Americans who have been without work for over six months are still in serious trouble. According to a new report by the National Employment Law Project - an advocacy group for the employment rights of low wage workers - the half-year mark is a watershed moment in the eyes of many employers. Many companies are far less likely, even unwilling, to hire people who have been unemployed for over six months.
Until the unemployed are able to find work, we should extend their jobless benefits for another six months, which studies show generates two dollars of economic growth for every one dollar the federal government spends. Without bipartisan support to continue these unemployment insurance programs, many millions of Americans may find themselves in poverty when their benefits expire at the end of this year.
